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油价因市场对需求的担忧第四周下跌_世界观焦点

发布时间:2023-05-16 08:25:41 来源:中国石化新闻网

中国石化新闻网讯 据钻机地带5月12日报道,油价跌至每桶70美元附近,连续第四周下跌,因对需求增长的担忧持续存在。


【资料图】

有迹象显示,伊拉克石油出口可能不会在5月12日的周六恢复,而美国暗示可能在下个月之后购买原油以补充战略储备,这一消息曾一度让西得克萨斯中质原油(WTI)有望止住连跌的势头。但上周五美元走强,令持石油变得更加昂贵,抹去这些涨幅。

过去一周,由于炼油利润率不佳和部分地区买盘低迷,现货市场显示出疲软迹象,油价承压。全球最大的两个经济体进一步显示出经济降温的迹象,美国申请失业救济人数上升,而亚洲的复苏势头减弱。基金经理大举做空布伦特原油,使净多头跌至去年12月以来的最低水平。

“原油期货的近期动能仍在空头手中,至少在我们看到需求方面的基本面更加积极之前。”韩国银行金融证券交易部门高级副总裁Dennis Kissler表示。

由于看跌情绪笼罩市场,原油价格在过去一个月下跌了约15%。交易员预计,美国经济将逐渐接近衰退,而亚洲经济的反弹令一些市场观察人士感到失望,这给能源需求打上了一个问号。上周五,花旗集团(Citigroup)将今年布伦特原油价格预期从每桶84美元下调至平均每桶82美元左右,因需求继续低于预期。

到目前为止,这超过了欧佩克+宣布减产所带来的提振。然而,路透社援引对伊拉克石油部长阿卜杜勒的采访报道称,目前可能不会进一步减产。

市场人士称,油价迄今已在每桶70美元和75美元附近找到技术支撑,但若跌破该水准,可能令油价迅速跌向65美元左右。

价格:

纽约6月交割的西得克萨斯中质原油期货下跌83美分,收于每桶70.04美元。

布伦特原油7月期货下跌81美分,收于每桶74.17美元。

寿琳玲 编译自 钻机地带

原文如下:

Oil Posts Fourth Weekly Loss on Demand Concerns

Oil slumped near $70 to mark a fourth-straight week of losses as concerns about demand growth persist.

It briefly appeared like West Texas Intermediate would manage to snap its losing streak, supported by signs that Iraqi oil exports likely won’t resume on Saturday and the US signaling it could purchase crude to refill the strategic reserve after next month. But a strong dollar Friday, which makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, wiped out those gains.

Over the week, oil has been pressured by the physical market showing signs of weakness amid poor refining margins and lackluster buying in some areas. The world’s two biggest economies demonstrated further evidence of cooling, with US jobless claims rising and Asian recovery waning. Money managers have piled into bearish bets in Brent, sending net longs to the lowest since December.

“The near term momentum in crude futures remains with the bears at least until we see more positive fundamentals from the demand side,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial Securities.

Crude has retreated by about 15% over the past month as bearish sentiment has gripped the market. Traders expect the US economy to inch closer to recession and Asian rebound has disappointed some market watchers, putting a question mark over energy demand. On Friday, Citigroup cut its forecast for Brent crude from $84 a barrel to average around $82 a barrel this year with demand continuing to underperform expectations.

So far, that’s outweighed the lift from supply cuts announced by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies. However, further cuts may not be on the table for now, Reuters reported, citing an interview with Hayyan Abdul Ghani, Iraq’s oil minister.

Prices have found technical support near $70 and $75 a barrel so far but a decline below those levels could send oil tumbling quickly toward the mid-60s, market participants said.

Prices:

WTI for June delivery fell 83 cents to settle at $70.04 a barrel in New York.

Brent for July settlement slipped 81 cents to settle at $74.17 a barrel.

(责任编辑:黄振 审核:蒋文娟 )
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